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#11190 - 06/18/20 04:15 PM
What is big, black and knocks at the door?
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Addict
Registered: 07/12/19
Posts: 430
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Any guesses? The future. This is not about the market but about the economy. I expect by next year we will enter a long period of high unemployment and stagflation. Until recently I was optimistic for the rest of the year. I thought that the pent up demand, the forced savings will at least translate in a positive next few months. I thought that if a second wave comes it would be in the winter. I thought I could travel in September or October. Now I hear that a second wave might start in August and this could change the picture. My hope is that the virus, like all viruses is a parasite that has no interest in killing its hosts, so it can mutate in a less virulent form. This is why new viruses are so dangerous, they are not adapted yet to their hosts. I am going to share a relatively dark vision for the scene for the next few years.
The general context I expect is a last hurrah for the rest of the year followed by high unemployment and stagflation for the next 3 years. What would the scene look like? A very good rest of the year, but threatened by the second wave towards the end. The major change I foresee is the reversal of the trend towards independence. The high unemployment and low barriers of entry would mean new talent entering the market. The lack of discretionary spending income would mark a shift of preference towards domination houses reversing a long existing trend. I expect new domination houses to appear. For those complaining about mistresses working for men, this is your chance to open your own instead. However financially this is a risky long term investment.
I expect independent mistresses to raise their fees next year, to differentiate from the newcomers, to compensate for the higher price of the rent, and because they will have fewer sessions.
Probably most of the newcomers will be gone in a year, but their numbers would be replenished, and those remaining will have a better year in 2022 and be real competition in 2023. Of course predictions are likely to be wrong, especially when they are about the future. Who would have expected a year ago the current madness?
But this is a possible outcome, and food for thought. If I am right, the coming good period should be enjoyed, but also possibly a time to prepare for the future.
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